Categories
4g Business mobile connectivity social networking

Report from #MWC2014 – Mark Zuckerberg and the death of the Personal Computer

I see Mark Zuckerberg (founder of Facebook) is in Barca (short for Barcelona – common usage by  the mobile “in” people) for MWC 2014 (Mobile World Congress two thousand and fourteen).

It’s the trendy place to be. You get to be part of the hype, the frenzy. In the run up you casually ask others whether they are going so that they can see that you are going. Affirmative responses result in knowing nods, comparisons of favourite bars and restaurants  and complaints about all the walking that you have to put up with because the show is so large. To those that respond in the negative everything is left unsaid.

I’ve been to Barcelona. Spent a great few days there with my daughter last summer.  We stayed in a nice hotel slap bang in the middle of the city, could walk everywhere and were able to easily retire to the rooftop bar for late afternoon relaxation when we had had enough of the touristy bits.

I years gone by I’ve known one or two of our sales people have to travel in by train from miles kilometres away because accommodation was unavailable in Barcelona itself. Almost as bad as the old days of Telecom Geneva where people would have to commute from Heathrow to Switzerland because hotels were totally sold out for hundreds of miles around (ish) the show.

Mr Zuckerberg is in town because mobile is increasing in importance to platform owners seeking their fortunes online. I can confirm this. You can see from the historic visitor trends to the blog based on type of device used (in January of each year).

When I started it was all desktop. Mobile kicked in in 2010 and tablets in 2012. Unless Google wasn’t measuring it like that before then. Fwiw and for a bit of a laugh you can check out the most popular mobiles in 2009 at the Telegraph.

visitor trends
By January of this year the specific percentages are 63.40% desktop, 25.97% mobile and 10.63% tablet. I don’t need to tell you that there is a clear trend here. One that Mark Zuckerberg has not been slow to spot.

The obvious conclusion is that one day desktop PCs are going to vanish and it will all be mobile and tablet. Just to save you getting a ruler out and trying to see for yourself I’ve used a spreadsheet to extrapolate the data and find out when people will be abandoning their PCs for good.

extrapolated visitor trends_2022 is clearly the last year in which we, the people, will use a PC. Ok I realise the cynics amongst you will pick at these numbers. The old adage of “lies, damn lies and statistics” will ring in my ear.

That’s as may be but all I’d doing is reporting what I see. Mark Zuckerberg has probably done the same exercise using Facebook’s own numbers. He will be working from a larger data set so he almost certainly knows down the month, week even when the last PC will be used.

Btw I’m not at MWC2014 meself. Got a bit of a cold. Atchoo.

Read the report from MWC here – UK needs to up mobile game.

Trefor Davies

By Trefor Davies

Liver of life, father of four, CTO of trefor.net, writer, poet, philosopherontap.com

4 replies on “Report from #MWC2014 – Mark Zuckerberg and the death of the Personal Computer”

Dear Trefor, an interesting post, but like a Barcelona native citizen I can’t hear Barca o Barça abbrevation without annoy me haha, it’s Barna or BCN, because Barça is only the name of the football team, and for some reason it’s confused by several foreign people.
See u at the MWC next year 😉

Thanks Ignacio
Unfortunately sometimes you have to put up with us ignorant Brits even though I often hide behind being Welsh:)
Might even make it over in the summer. My daughter, Kid 2, starts a job in Spain in August.
All the best.

I do think the “Desktop” as we know it will diminish until only the hardcore gamers with big GPU’s are still around, although the “Personal Computer” can be just as much an x86 CPU based tablet or hybrid MAC OS tablet/laptop as it can a desktop device.

Can your stats identify the difference between machine types where the hardware is still technically PC but the function is tablet? Is not an x86 based tablet still just as much a “Personal Computer”? I use my Dell Venue Pro 11 tablet, plugged into my monitor, mouse and keyboard, for work just like an older Desktop.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.